The phrase, “There is no such thing as a coincidence,” is mathematically untrue. If you flip a coin the odds are even it will land as heads or tails. But this does not mean that a heads flip will be followed by a tails. Flip a coin a thousand times and natural randomness means it is actually likely there will be a few runs of five or six (or more) heads (or tails) in a row.

Weather provides examples of this all the time. It is not unusual for a certain spot to get hailed on two or three summers in a row even as a nearby spot misses each of those storms. There is a certain amount of randomness in weather.

The town of Codell, Kansas, was hit by a tornado on May 20 three years in a row from 1916 through 1918. Natural odds suggest it was just a rare event, a coincidence.

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