FARGO — As of Monday afternoon, April 5, the forecast for the Fargo-Moorhead area anticipated the strong chance of rain by midweek, with chances for precipitation continuing into the weekend.
However, very dry regions across much of North Dakota and northwest Minnesota will likely miss out on significant rainfall, according to John Wheeler, chief StormTracker meteorologist.
"For the first time in many, many weeks, there is a slow-moving, fairly moisture-laden low pressure system that is moving in our general direction and I'm fairly certain that it will bring a pretty good chance of rain to the area, starting around midweek," Wheeler said.
He said rain showers could start Tuesday evening, but noted that chances improve significantly starting Wednesday and the days that follow, including the weekend.
"For an area like ours, that is desperate for moisture, that is great news," Wheeler said, but he stressed that the precipitation picture is a limited one.
"We're not all going to get a lot of rain, it's not going to work out that way," he said.
For the Fargo-Moorhead area, Wheeler said total rain amounts over the course of several days later this week could be more than an inch on the optimistic side, or perhaps a quarter of an inch or less on the not-so-optimistic side of the forecast.
"We'll have to wait and see how it plays out. It's a little early to start promising rain amounts," Wheeler said.
According to Wheeler, areas north and west of Fargo-Moorhead, as well as north and east of the metro area, are less likely to receive significant moisture from the weather system expected later this week.
"My strong suspicion is that most of North Dakota will still be just as dry next week as they are right now," Wheeler said. "This is not going to be a regionwide rain."
Wheeler said areas of Minnesota that can expect significant rain later this week are areas not considered to be experiencing drought conditions, including the southwest, southern, and eastern parts of Minnesota.