The National Weather Service issued a spring flood outlook this past week. The report received very little attention because the news is non-concerning. Although winter snowfall is a bit closer to average this winter than in the past few relatively snow-less winters, the overall flood threat for spring remains low throughout the Red River Basin because the past few years have been, overall, much drier.
The severe spring flooding in the consecutive springs of 2009, 2010, and 2011 were not merely a result of heavy snow and rain those years, but also of a build-up of water in the soil and in reservoirs due to it having been so wet several years in a row. Obviously, the outlook could change if our region were to suddenly get a huge amount of snow and rain. But given the present moisture conditions, significant flooding appears to be unlikely this spring.