We see that you have javascript disabled. Please enable javascript and refresh the page to continue reading local news. If you feel you have received this message in error, please contact the customer support team at 1-833-248-7801.



WeatherTalk: Forecasting is better, but tornadoes remain hard to predict

Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are of a much smaller scale.

Weather Talk.jpg
We are part of The Trust Project.

Temperature, sky, wind and precipitation forecasts for three or four days away are as accurate as the forecasts for the next day were three or four decades ago. Most weather is a result of fairly basic concepts in fluid analysis. Computers are able to model the atmosphere and, based on measured initial conditions, forecast the future with reasonable accuracy.

Meteorologists use their experience with the models and with atmospheric dynamics to offer reasonably accurate forecasts most of the time. However, severe thunderstorms, and tornadoes in particular, are of a much smaller scale, with motions and forces often of a secondary nature. Meteorologists are still not able to say for certain which thunderstorm cells will produce a tornado, or which atmospheric setups will produce those dreaded tornado outbreaks.

What to read next
StormTRACKER Meteorologist John Wheeler discusses the general weather.
Nature's beauty from a weather perspective
We all learned this in primary school, but the chemistry is actually quite complex.
Don Kinzler with Cass County Horticulture explains what to do with your lawn and garden before the first frost hits this season.